India does not have a super spreader?

March 6, 2020
New Delhi, March 06, 2020:

Scenario India:

  • 31 cases in India (17 outside India)
  • Delhi Noida Gurugram Agra Jaipur Kerala Ghaziabad (5 states)
  • 28 active cases
  • Serious none
  • Two clusters (driver + 16 Italians Jaipur, 1 Delhi + 6 relatives Agra), 1 Ghaziabad, 3 cured in Kerala, 1 Gurugram PTM employee, 1 Telangana, 1 Delhi
  • No community spread
  • 17 Indians abroad infected with coronavirus: 16 cases reported from Japan on the cruise ship and one from the UAE
  • Stage: cases, two clusters (human to human transmission) with no community spread (surface to human transmission).
  • Cluster management
  • No super spreader in India as doubling time is not abnormal.  Epidemic doubling time is 7.5 days (Korea 1 day with Tripling time of 3 days was due to a super spreader)
  • Positive cases and close contacts need isolation, masks, and treatment. Taken care by the government.
  • Others do not need masks but only hand and face hygiene

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Key points

  1. Cough, no fever: pollution
  2. Cough and cold no fever: allergy
  3. Fever with cough and cold: H1N1 flu
  4. Low grade fever with cough lasting two weeks rule out TB
  5. Fever with dry cough: Corona virus a possibility, call your doctor to ask what to do
  6. Fever, cough and breathlessness, no oxygen requirement: Call your doctor to rule out corona infection. Revisit travel history or meeting with people who have travelled Internationally recently.
  7. Fever, cough and breathlessness, with oxygen requirement: Call your doctor to admit you and rule out corona infection. Revisit travel history or meeting with people who have travelled Internationally recently.
  8. Fever and sore throat in children: Rheumatic bacterial sore throat

SOS

Call you doctor, MOH helpline number

Do not rush to a hospital with crowded OPDs, go for tele consultation

 

Dr KK Aggarwal

President CMAAO, HCFI and Past National President IMA

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